Final Mock Draft: Eric Fisher leapfrogs Luke Joeckel
|04.25.13 at 8:07 am ET|
Draft day finally is upon us. Though I still long for the olden days of all-day Saturday, all-day Sunday action, it’s still the best time of the year — even if we have to wait until prime time.
Before we get to the good stuff, I just want to point out that this is my eighth year of doing mock drafts, and it has by far been the most challenging year, for quite a few reasons.
First of all, it’s just a weak class. There are four great offensive linemen in tackles Luke Joeckel and Eric Fisher, and guards Chance Warmack and Jonathan Cooper. After that, there are some good pass-rushers and two or three plus corners, but the star power in this class is highly lacking. For that reason, when mocking these picks, I found myself frequently coming to spots where the team would want to trade down, but who would want to trade up?
The uncertainty at the quarterback position also makes things tough to predict. There are teams that need quarterbacks, but do they like Geno Smith and Ryan Nassib enough to spend first-rounders on them? The aforementioned lack of star power in this draft applies to signal-callers especially. The guess here is that Smith goes somewhere in the top six picks — to either the Eagles, Browns or a team that trades up — and the Bills make their pick at No. 8 and later move back into the first round to grab Nassib.
Typically, good mock drafts get six picks right, while great ones get 8-10 picks right. The bar should be lowered for this one.
1. Chiefs (2-14) — Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan
Deciding between Joeckel and Fisher might be a closer call than many think.
2. Jaguars (2-14) – Dion Jordan, DE/OLB, Oregon
Jordan will help a defense that finished last in the league with 20 sacks last season.
3. Raiders (4-12) – Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida
The safest pick they could make, but remember, Robert Gallery once was considered safe.
4. Eagles (4-12) – Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M
Joeckel still is arguably the best player in the draft. This would be quite the steal.
5. Lions (4-12) — Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama
A true No. 1 corner to team with the re-signed Chris Houston.
6. Browns (5-11) – Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia
Brandon Weeden isn’t the problem, and they can’t be sure Smith is the answer.
7. Cardinals (5-11) — Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma
Big and athletic. Draws comparisons to Nate Solder, but with a higher ceiling.
8. Bills (6-10) – Ezekial Ansah, DE, BYU
A project and a half. If he works out, he and Mario Williams will be scary together.
9. Jets (6-10) — Barkevious Mingo, DE/OLB, LSU
If there’s a quarterback they like here, it will justify the Darrelle Revis trade more.
10. Titans (6-10) – Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama
Can a guard in the top 10 be considered a steal? In this draft, maybe.
11. Chargers (7-9) — Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina
Pretty simple, Tom Telesco: Take the best offensive lineman available.
12. Dolphins (7-9) – Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah
They need cornerbacks, but Lotulelei is too good to pass up here.
13. Jets (from Buccaneers) — Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia
John Idzik would regain some faith from fans by taking the draft’s most dynamic player.
14. Panthers (7-9) — Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri
Some picks stay the same throughout the pre-draft process. This is one of them.
15. Saints (7-9) — Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia
Jones had 14.5 sacks last season. He’s better than what they have at rush linebacker.
16. Rams (7-8-1) – Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas
Among other things, the Rams need a safety and a replacement for Danny Amendola.
17. Steelers (8-8) — D.J. Hayden, CB, Houston
Has gone from a mid-to-late-round afterthought to potentially the top corner in the draft.
18. Cowboys (8-8) — Sylvester Williams, DT, North Carolina
If either of the guards were to fall here, the Cowboys would pounce.
19. Giants (9-7) — Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia
They’ve needed help at inside linebacker. Off-field issues make Ogletree available here.
20. Bears (10-6) – Johnathan Jenkins, DT, Georgia
The man is gigantic. Someone’s going to take him in the first round.
21. Bengals (10-6) — Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama
Running backs don’t provide great value in the first round, but it’s a need.
22. Rams (from Redskins) – Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee
The Rams probably will regret signing Jared Cook if Eifert’s still on the board.
23. Vikings (10-6) — Manti Te’o, ILB, Notre Dame
It’s just a matter of which team overlooks his confusing off-field issues.
24. Colts (11-5) — Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington
They need a corner and defensive line help. Trufant would be a steal here.
25. Vikings (from Seahawks) – DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson
Was very productive at Clemson. Would look good teamed with Greg Jennings.
26. Packers (11-5) – Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame
27. Texans (12-4) — D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama
Could be a starter at right tackle right off the bat.
28. Broncos (12-4) – Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
He won’t replace what they lost with Elvis Dumervil, but he’ll help.
29. Patriots (12-4) — Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State
Hunter would be a better fit if he fell. Cordarrelle Patterson is too much of a project.
30. Falcons (13-3) — Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford
They need an eventual replacement for Tony Gonzalez. Maybe they move up for Eifert.
31. 49ers (11-4-1) – Matt Elam, S, Florida
They improved their secondary with Nnamdi Asomugha, but they still need help at safety.
32. Ravens (10-6) — Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee
A good replacement for Anquan Boldin.
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