Mike Florio on M&M: Patriots might be better off passing on Aqib Talib and making a run at Darrelle Revis
|03.04.14 at 12:05 pm ET|
Mike Florio of ProFootballTalk.com checked in with Mut & Merloni on Tuesday to discuss news from around the NFL, including speculation that the Patriots might be interested in acquiring Buccaneers cornerback Darrelle Revis. To hear the interview, go to the Mut & Merloni audio on demand page.
Florio suggested that Revis could be on the move prior to March 13, when he’s due to receive a $1.5 million check, and a 2014 fourth-round draft pick the Buccaneers sent to the Jets in last year’s trade would become a third-rounder.
“Those two things combined suggest that if there is going to be a move, it’s going to happen by next Thursday or it’s not going to happen at all,” Florio said. “That’s what it comes down to — it’s not going to happen if it doesn’t happen by the 13th. And the question becomes, can some other team persuade the Buccaneers to make the move. Last year it was the Jets wanting to move Revis. This year the thinking in league circles is that there are other teams that would like to shake Revis away from Tampa.”
Two teams Florio mentioned as potential landing spots are the Patriots and Broncos.
“I’ve heard from someone I trust very much the speculation that it is the Broncos and the Patriots who are trying to stir this ‘Revis can be/Revis will be/Revis could be,/Revis should be traded’ idea, to put the idea in the Buccaneers‘ heads to move on from Darrelle Revis. Would the Broncos or the Patriots like to have a shot at him? I believe they would. Does that mean the Buccaneers are ready to trade him? No. ‘¦ The question is convincing the Glazers [who own the team] to do it. But they’re going to save $16 million in cash if they do it.”
Meanwhile, the Patriots passed on franchising Aqib Talib as they try to determine if it’s worth spending big money to keep the free agent cornerback in New England.
“I think Talib at least is going to get an $8 million-a-year offer, if that’s what [Brent] Grimes is getting from the Miami Dolphins,” Florio said. “And the problem for the Patriots — and this is an Aaron Hernandez offshoot — you can’t give a big chunk of money to a guy with a history of off-field issues less than a year after Aaron Hernandez blew up in your face. You just can’t do it.”
Florio doubted that Talib would take a hometown discount to return to Foxboro.
“Are the days still around where somebody would take less to stay with the Patriots? I don’t know that that vibe exists anywhere except maybe in Seattle. And it would be more somebody taking less to join the Seahawks than someone taking less to stay with the Seahawks,” he said. “So, I think they’re going to have to compete with the highest bidder. And if the Patriots don’t compete with the highest bidder, then he could very well be going elsewhere.
“And when you’re in a position where from a PR standpoint it’s very difficult to give a guy a bunch of guaranteed money on the hope that he doesn’t revert to the things he was doing in Tampa, allegedly or actually. That’s a big risk to take. And other teams don’t have that same PR risk.”
Added Florio: “That’s where this whole Revis thing comes from. When you think about what it’s going to cost to keep Talib on a long-term deal, what the costs are from an off-field risk standpoint, it’s very easy to get yourself to the point where you can justify making a run at Revis. And you throw in the icing on the cake of sticking it to the Jets. Because one of the reasons the Jets traded Revis last year was to get him out of situation where he could walk out the door and sign with the Patriots as a free agent this year. For him to end up with the Patriots would be the ultimate kick in the pants to the New York Jets. And I’m sure that the Patriots would like to be able to pull that off. If they think it’s a good football move, you throw on top of that tweaking the Jets, and they’re not going to feel bad about doing that.”
Looking at the Patriots’ wide receiver situation, Florio said he was surprised at a report that the Patriots are shopping Danny Amendola.
“I think the thinking is, OK, we can swap out someone else who’s maybe a little more durable, maybe a couple of years younger, who can play that position that Danny Amendola was supposed to play and we can move on,” Florio said. “Or maybe the money that’s due for Amendola they finally realized to give it to Julian Edelman. They got Edelman on a deal that was almost criminally cheap last year, and he put in a very strong season in light of what he was getting paid.”
A report emerged Monday that the NFL is considering make teams kick a 43-yard kick for an extra point.
“It doesn’t make any sense to me,” Florio said. “How much more exciting is a 43-yard kick? They make what, like 85 percent as kicks from that distance as field goals? This entire push to get rid of the extra point doesn’t come from the fact that, hey, the point’s automatic. It comes from safety. The NFL is looking for ways to take unnecessary contact out of the game. How did Rob Gronkowski break his arm [in 2012]? On an extra point. ‘¦ Even though you rarely block an extra point, the defenses still try to do it. You get a lot of guys pushing and shoving and potentially injured. And that’s where I think the initial push came from.
“My assessment of this proposal that’s being floated to move it back to 43 yards? I think that that is out there to get people to warm up to the possibility of just getting rid of it altogether, making it an automatic seven, and if you want to risk one point in the name of getting eight points, which is what Roger Goodell initially proposed, I think that’s what’s ultimately going to happen. And these other ideas that come about are going to be all about getting people to say, ‘Ah, you know what, these other ideas, they’re kind of quaint, they’re kind of cute, but they’re stupid. Let’s go with what Goodell already suggested: You get automatically seven points and you can risk one point if you want.’ “
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